Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 84.123334 94.044342 104.146811 115.172790 126.837583 138.782407 151.909977
2025-08-31 67.758404 81.991780 97.101556 114.209724 132.922618 152.659549 174.943071
2025-09-07 59.152993 75.926438 94.277325 115.587557 139.414310 165.020163 194.410812
2025-09-14 52.827840 71.497365 92.470298 117.351614 145.675555 176.571590 212.492131
2025-09-21 46.219907 66.014453 88.844001 116.489334 148.491599 183.877285 225.491596
2025-09-28 39.851052 60.216620 84.345665 114.162979 149.240070 188.524036 235.214041
2025-10-05 37.678135 59.327735 85.478042 118.252170 157.232344 201.261320 253.956484
2025-10-12 35.027029 57.585324 85.380306 120.712700 163.191789 211.572011 269.863418
2025-10-19 31.271279 54.108393 82.905034 120.102353 165.362643 217.379350 280.506719
2025-10-26 27.930738 50.916079 80.576897 119.491427 167.383737 222.894158 290.713575
2025-11-02 25.468471 48.730091 79.384743 120.161007 170.843653 230.016594 302.721712
2025-11-09 22.634934 45.793086 77.043808 119.246724 172.265416 234.646142 311.751869
2025-11-16 20.441156 43.645853 75.669693 119.522804 175.148108 241.048297 322.934978
2025-11-23 17.956628 40.853758 73.279075 118.378155 176.192052 245.198301 331.431155
2025-11-30 16.547716 39.605191 72.921747 119.811264 180.396917 253.111015 344.354433
2025-12-07 15.372446 38.629288 72.878016 121.607295 185.023544 261.513270 357.850467
2025-12-14 13.521971 36.367236 70.891396 120.727983 186.196507 265.669789 366.241730
2025-12-21 11.452310 33.504853 67.883834 118.353272 185.367240 267.307283 371.553466
2025-12-28 11.230011 33.915523 69.689724 122.526993 192.952684 279.284106 389.321651
2026-01-04 10.615461 33.547521 70.299089 125.037767 198.380127 288.600237 403.885517
2026-01-11 9.321564 31.764264 68.685981 124.414997 199.697228 292.804690 412.244590
2026-01-18 8.147272 30.070110 67.120430 123.791610 200.963968 296.911422 420.459352
2026-01-25 7.340624 29.026230 66.512100 124.474847 203.917885 303.102861 431.201898